Comparing death rates in the pandemic: hundreds of millions could be disabled by covid

Islam and Djanov’s use of the past tense to refer to the pandemic is unfortunate.1 The World Health Organization’s recent ending of the Public Health Emergency of International Concern was accompanied by a clear warning that the virus is here to stay and represents a severe ongoing threat. Director General Tedros Ghebreyesus said, “The worst thing any country could do is to use this news as a reason to let down its guard, to dismantle the systems it has built, or to send the message to its people that covid-19 is nothing to worry about.”2Despite the disappearance of the Office for National Statistics coronavirus infection survey and the scaling back of testing, we continue to have a high baseline prevalence rate of around 1 million people currently infected,3 with about a third of infections being reinfections.4 This pattern—of high baseline of infections with waves occurring because of new variants as…
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